Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.003825 0.004014 0.004208 0.004422 0.004651 0.004889 0.005156
2025-01-26 0.003500 0.003786 0.004092 0.004443 0.004837 0.005267 0.005773
2025-02-02 0.003366 0.003718 0.004105 0.004563 0.005095 0.005696 0.006433
2025-02-09 0.003165 0.003551 0.003983 0.004508 0.005132 0.005858 0.006776
2025-02-16 0.003027 0.003441 0.003914 0.004500 0.005213 0.006063 0.007168
2025-02-23 0.002898 0.003332 0.003836 0.004471 0.005261 0.006222 0.007504
2025-03-02 0.002826 0.003284 0.003825 0.004518 0.005397 0.006491 0.007988
2025-03-09 0.002720 0.003190 0.003752 0.004483 0.005424 0.006619 0.008290
2025-03-16 0.002623 0.003102 0.003680 0.004442 0.005440 0.006729 0.008568
2025-03-23 0.002519 0.003000 0.003586 0.004369 0.005408 0.006770 0.008750
2025-03-30 0.002426 0.002908 0.003502 0.004303 0.005379 0.006812 0.008932
2025-04-06 0.002373 0.002864 0.003476 0.004311 0.005448 0.006987 0.009310
2025-04-13 0.002254 0.002734 0.003336 0.004164 0.005304 0.006865 0.009256
2025-04-20 0.002210 0.002699 0.003319 0.004183 0.005389 0.007068 0.009693
2025-04-27 0.002206 0.002716 0.003370 0.004294 0.005604 0.007466 0.010452
2025-05-04 0.002139 0.002648 0.003306 0.004243 0.005588 0.007524 0.010683
2025-05-11 0.002093 0.002606 0.003274 0.004235 0.005632 0.007672 0.011065
2025-05-18 0.002043 0.002556 0.003231 0.004209 0.005647 0.007777 0.011379
2025-05-25 0.002020 0.002543 0.003236 0.004252 0.005765 0.008042 0.011977
2025-06-01 0.001972 0.002494 0.003190 0.004220 0.005768 0.008127 0.012273
2025-06-08 0.001925 0.002445 0.003143 0.004183 0.005761 0.008197 0.012545
2025-06-15 0.001870 0.002384 0.003076 0.004115 0.005706 0.008184 0.012669
2025-06-22 0.001819 0.002327 0.003015 0.004054 0.005657 0.008180 0.012807